They call it a model plane. Listed on Alibaba as a delta-wing aircraft called the Mosquito SM200G, top speed 150 kilometers per hour, 10 kilograms of payload, swarm coordination for up to 100 aircraft. The listing does not say: this is a copy of the Shahed-136, a one-way attack drone that has become the defining weapon of a European ground war and, now, a broader conflict in the Gulf.
The listing says: $6,000 to $40,000, depending on configuration. It says: Russia delivery available.
When journalists at the Jerusalem Post contacted a seller, a sales representative confirmed the so-called model plane was a copy of the Shahed-136, could be armed with explosives, and could be shipped to Russia if needed. ABC News obtained PDF sales catalogs showing the drones capable of autonomous target locking using thermal imaging and AI guidance: people, buildings, vehicles, ships. The supplier's response when asked about export controls, about whether any of this mattered: "After the customer makes a purchase, what they use it for has nothing to do with us."
That is the quote. That is the entire moral posture of this market in one sentence.
China's UAV export restrictions took effect September 1, 2025. Alibaba removed listings flagged by the Jerusalem Post. One seller offering Russia delivery remained active on the platform at time of publication.
This is how export controls work in practice: a press release, a headline, a takedown, and then a relisting under a different name two weeks later.
The drones are not hard to find. The sellers are not hard to reach. They answer the phone. They have WhatsApp numbers. They send PDF catalogs. They know what they are selling and they know where it is going.
Russia is producing 3,000 Geran-2 units per month as of late 2025, according to the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The country is aiming for 1,000 per day in 2026. Russia is also supplying drones back to Iran, European intelligence agencies told the Guardian, reversing the historical flow where Iran supplied Russia. The drone supply chain has become a closed loop: Russian components, Chinese manufacturing, Iranian design, Western semiconductors obtained through third-party transfers.
Oleksandra Molloy, a senior lecturer in aviation at the University of New South Wales, told ABC that China supplies combat drones to both Russia and Ukraine. David Dunn, a professor at the University of Birmingham who studies lethal drone proliferation, said access to combat-drone technology is an international free-for-all.
He is not wrong.
The economics are not complicated. A Shahed-136 costs between $20,000 and $50,000 per unit, according to the Council on Foreign Relations. Advanced Patriot missile interceptors cost about $4 million per shot. A Coyote drone interceptor costs $125,000 per shot. You can afford to lose more than your adversary can afford to shoot down. That arithmetic has not changed. The export controls have not changed it.
The math is: send a hundred cheap drones, accept that most will be shot down, and you have still forced the other side to spend more than you did. Send a thousand, and you own the night.
Export controls assume the bottleneck is manufacturing capacity or component access. Russia is building 3,000 a month anyway. The sellers on Alibaba are not the bottleneck. They are the scenery. The real supply chain runs through shell companies and third-country transshipment and component lists that look like agricultural equipment.
The press release says: China restricts UAV exports. The next day, a listing relists under a new product name. The sales rep says: we don't know what they use it for.
They know.
† Add † footnote: "Cost figures from Council on Foreign Relations; not independently verified."
†† Add clarifying attribution: "according to the Council on Foreign Relations" or add † footnote if stated as confirmed fact.
† Add † footnote: "Cost figures from Council on Foreign Relations; not independently verified."
†† Add clarifying attribution: "according to the Council on Foreign Relations" or add † footnote if stated as confirmed fact.