The $20 Billion Bet That a Grocery Empire Can Build an AI Champion
A German retail company that sells groceries is now the lead investor in one of the largest transatlantic AI mergers ever attempted.
Schwarz Group — owner of Lidl and Kaufland, with annual revenue larger than the GDP of Hungary — committed $600 million to Cohere's Series E funding round on Friday, as the Canadian AI company finalized a merger with Heidelberg-based Aleph Alpha. The combined entity is valued at roughly $20 billion, according to people familiar with the terms, making it one of the largest AI players you've probably never heard of at the top of a funding cycle.
The deal is politically backed in a way that most AI mergers aren't. German Digital Minister Karsten Wildberger and his Canadian counterpart, Evan Solomon, appeared together in Berlin on Friday to bless the combination. Solomon called it proof that the Canada-Germany Sovereign Technology Alliance, signed earlier this year, was "more than words." Ottawa has already committed $240 million in public compute funding to Cohere. Berlin is expected to make the combined entity an anchor customer in German public procurement.
That political tailwind is the point. Cohere and Aleph Alpha are not positioning themselves as better AI models — they're positioning themselves as a different kind of AI provider, one whose infrastructure and decision-making sit inside the jurisdictions it serves, rather than in San Francisco or Seattle. "Organizations globally are demanding uncompromising control over their AI stack," Aidan Gomez, Cohere's co-founder and CEO, said in the announcement. "This transatlantic partnership unlocks the massive scale, robust infrastructure, and world-class R&D talent required to meet that demand."
The market they're chasing is real and large. McKinsey projects sovereign AI — systems operated within a nation's own infrastructure, subject to its own laws — will represent $600 billion of a projected $1 trillion annual AI services market by 2030. The US CLOUD Act, which allows American authorities to access data on US-owned cloud infrastructure regardless of where servers sit, has become a concrete legal liability for European banks, hospitals, and defense contractors. That's not a philosophical concern — it's a procurement driver.
The German military already runs on Aleph Alpha's technology. That fact, confirmed by Reuters, is the strongest evidence that "sovereign AI" is not a marketing term here but an operational reality. The defense contract is live. The procurement officers are already trained. The question was never whether the product works — it was whether the company had the capital and scale to keep supporting it.
Cohere does. Aleph Alpha, which raised more than $600 million in prior funding, had been scaling a different problem: it tried to compete directly with OpenAI on foundation models, realized it couldn't win that race, and pivoted to building specialized AI applications for regulated enterprises and government agencies. Its co-founder and former CEO, Jonas Andrulis, left the company before this deal was struck — a detail that explains why Aleph Alpha ends up with just 10% of the combined entity while Cohere shareholders retain roughly 90%. The number reflects who was buying and who was being bought.
That lopsided split is worth sitting with. A company whose technology is already deployed by the German military, whose customers include Deutsche Bank, SAP, and Bosch, and whose pivoted enterprise strategy clearly resonated with the market — that company couldn't command more than 10 cents of the combined dollar. The foundation model race carved out a class of companies that spent years and hundreds of millions building frontier capabilities, and then discovered that the market would pay more for integration than for raw intelligence.
The combined entity's most immediate competitive pressure lands on Mistral, the French AI company that has positioned itself as Europe's homegrown answer to American hyperscalers. "The merger will directly challenge other leading European AI companies such as Mistral, which now faces a rival that combines North American agility with European trust," Thomas Hutton, a principal analyst at Forrester, told ITPro. Mistral, which committed roughly $1.4 billion to build data centers in Sweden earlier this year, will now have to explain why its path to sovereign AI customers runs through Paris rather than through a dual-headquartered entity backed by German retail capital and Canadian government compute spending.
The harder question is whether any of this matters against the infrastructure advantages of the truly large players. OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are not standing still. Microsoft is embedding AI capabilities into every layer of its enterprise stack. The capital required to train frontier models doubles roughly every eight months. A $600 million Series E — even one led by a grocery conglomerate's tech division — is not obviously enough to close that gap.
Cohere's counterargument is that the market for sovereign AI isn't a winner-take-all contest for general intelligence. It's a B2B enterprise problem where jurisdiction, procurement relationships, and regulatory compliance matter as much as benchmark scores. By that logic, the combination of Cohere's Canadian government contracts, Aleph Alpha's German defense and enterprise relationships, and Schwarz Group's cloud infrastructure — delivered through its STACKIT platform — creates something that Microsoft cannot easily replicate, because Microsoft cannot easily become a German company with German government contracts.
That logic holds until it doesn't. The history of European tech champions is mostly a history of companies that were large enough to matter locally and too small to compete globally. Cohere and Aleph Alpha have raised the stakes: $20 billion in paper valuation, $600 million in fresh capital, two governments endorsing the project, and defense contracts already in hand. The grocery empire has made its bet. The question now is whether the AI it bought has enough runway to grow into the valuation.
— Sky